Victor Wembanyama's league-leading 3.1 blocks per game and total blocks anchor the San Antonio Spurs' elite defense, propelling them to a top Western Conference seed and fueling trader consensus at 93.8% implied probability for NBA Defensive Player of the Year. His recent surge—17 blocks over the last three games and consistent rim protection—has solidified his case amid ESPN polls naming him the frontrunner, with oddsmakers shifting dramatically to -5000 amid minimal injury concerns. Chet Holmgren trails at 5.2% on strong defensive ratings and 1.8 blocks per game for the Thunder, but lacks Wembanyama's volume impact. Realistic challenges include a late-season injury, voter emphasis on team DRTG over raw blocks, or a surprise narrative boost for anchors like Rudy Gobert, though the wisdom of crowds sees slim upset paths with few regular-season games remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedVictor Wembanyama 93.8%
Chet Holmgren 5.2%
Ausar Thompson <1%
Rudy Gobert <1%
$2,143,538 Vol.
$2,143,538 Vol.
Victor Wembanyama
94%
Chet Holmgren
5%
Ausar Thompson
1%
Rudy Gobert
<1%
Evan Mobley
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Dyson Daniels
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Draymond Green
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Jalen Suggs
<1%
Luguentz Dort
<1%
Jonathan Isaac
<1%
Ivica Zubac
<1%
Alex Caruso
<1%
Zach Edey
<1%
Brook Lopez
<1%
Kris Dunn
<1%
Jalen Duren
<1%
Jarred Vanderbilt
<1%
Walker Kessler
<1%
Bilal Coulibaly
<1%
Kel'el Ware
<1%
Donovan Clingan
<1%
Joel Embiid
<1%
Jarrett Allen
<1%
Keon Ellis
<1%
Nicolas Claxton
<1%
Bam Adebayo
<1%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
<1%
Victor Wembanyama 93.8%
Chet Holmgren 5.2%
Ausar Thompson <1%
Rudy Gobert <1%
$2,143,538 Vol.
$2,143,538 Vol.
Victor Wembanyama
94%
Chet Holmgren
5%
Ausar Thompson
1%
Rudy Gobert
<1%
Evan Mobley
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Dyson Daniels
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Draymond Green
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Jalen Suggs
<1%
Luguentz Dort
<1%
Jonathan Isaac
<1%
Ivica Zubac
<1%
Alex Caruso
<1%
Zach Edey
<1%
Brook Lopez
<1%
Kris Dunn
<1%
Jalen Duren
<1%
Jarred Vanderbilt
<1%
Walker Kessler
<1%
Bilal Coulibaly
<1%
Kel'el Ware
<1%
Donovan Clingan
<1%
Joel Embiid
<1%
Jarrett Allen
<1%
Keon Ellis
<1%
Nicolas Claxton
<1%
Bam Adebayo
<1%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:25 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Victor Wembanyama's league-leading 3.1 blocks per game and total blocks anchor the San Antonio Spurs' elite defense, propelling them to a top Western Conference seed and fueling trader consensus at 93.8% implied probability for NBA Defensive Player of the Year. His recent surge—17 blocks over the last three games and consistent rim protection—has solidified his case amid ESPN polls naming him the frontrunner, with oddsmakers shifting dramatically to -5000 amid minimal injury concerns. Chet Holmgren trails at 5.2% on strong defensive ratings and 1.8 blocks per game for the Thunder, but lacks Wembanyama's volume impact. Realistic challenges include a late-season injury, voter emphasis on team DRTG over raw blocks, or a surprise narrative boost for anchors like Rudy Gobert, though the wisdom of crowds sees slim upset paths with few regular-season games remaining.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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