Name: "Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Start: 2024-12-10T20:03:29.628692Z
End: 2024-12-23T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting the Rotten Tomatoes score for "Mufasa: The Lion King."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Mufasa: The Lion King" is less than 60 as of Dec 23, 2024 at 10:00AM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Mufasa: The Lion King" is between 60 (inclusive) and 69 (inclusive) as of Dec 23, 2024 at 10:00AM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

60-69

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Mufasa: The Lion King" is between 70 (inclusive) and 79 (inclusive) as of Dec 23, 2024 at 10:00AM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

70-79

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Mufasa: The Lion King" is between 80 (inclusive) and 89 (inclusive) as of Dec 23, 2024 at 10:00AM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

80-89

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "Mufasa: The Lion King" is 90 or greater as of Dec 23, 2024 at 10:00AM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

"Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Marty Supreme (2025) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on December 29. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by January 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Will "Marty Supreme" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

This market will resolve according to the Rotten Tomatoes’ Tomatometer “All Critics” Tomatometer score for "The Witcher: Season 4" (2025) as of December 31, 2025 at 10:00AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If for any reason the resolution data is unavailable, the resolution source will be checked every 6 hours, until the actual data is available.

"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Animated Feature. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve according to the Metascore listed on Metacritic for "Call of Duty: Black Ops 7" (https://www.metacritic.com/game/call-of-duty-black-ops-7/) as of seven days after the release, at 11:59 PM ET.

For games released on multiple platforms, Metacritic displays a default Metascore, that being the Metascore for the game on the platform for which it has the most critical reviews. For the purposes of this market, the Metascore refers to that of the default platform as of seven days after the release at 10 AM ET.

For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.

If this game is not released by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket.


Will "Call of Duty: Black Ops 7" have a Metascore less than 75?

This market will resolve to the movie with the third highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will KPop Demon Hunters be nominated for Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Score. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sinners win Best Score at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve to the movie with the second highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available.

Data from the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses will be used to resolve this market.

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" box office will gross domestically by January 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (December 19, 2025) and January 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including January 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Portnoy rates any pizza at a 9.0 or higher on any One Bite Pizza Review published between May 15 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be Portnoy's official One Bite Pizza Reviews YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@OneBitePizzaReviews).

Will Portnoy give another 9+ review in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point any Google Gemini 3 model has at least the specified arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) by December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Picture. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Leonardo DiCaprio is engaged to be married by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Leonardo DiCaprio has married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Leonardo DiCaprio or one of his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Leonardo DiCaprio engaged in 2025?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed show that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Animated Series. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated show whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Harley Quinn win Best Animated Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (December 26 - 28) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m?

This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between September 10, 2025, 6 PM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- MrBeast hits 500 million subscribers
- Trump meets MrBeast in 2025
- Another MrBeast video gets 55m+ day 1 views 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/mrbeast.png

Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Gross" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2025/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses shows 'A Minecraft Movie' (2025) as the film with the highest 2025 gross once data for December 31 is made available. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2025 - dates outside of 2025 will not count toward this movie's gross.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Original Screenplay. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

The Critics Choice Awards are presented annually by the American Critics Choice Association to honor achievements in film. For the Critics Choice Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced by December 5, 2025, followed by the ceremony on January 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Critics Choice Award for Best Sound. 

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by January 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Critics Choice Awards and the American Critics Choice Association, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.criticschoice.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will F1 win Best Sound at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets over 100 million views in the first 7 days after being posted between this market's creation and January 31, 2026, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Videos posted within the final 7 days of this market's resolution date will qualify, and this market will remain open to allow for the full 7 days to be completed.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast’s posted YouTube videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced videos will not be considered.

"Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?

<60
$58,010 Vol.
Yes

60-69
$33,129 Vol.
No

70-79
$13,771 Vol.
No

80-89
$33,972 Vol.
No

90+
$16,404 Vol.
No

Market Context

"Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Rules

"Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Market Context

"Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?

About

Related

"Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?

<60$58,010 Vol.Yescircle check

60-69$33,129 Vol.Nocircle xmark

70-79$13,771 Vol.Nocircle xmark

80-89$33,972 Vol.Nocircle xmark

90+$16,404 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

"Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Rules

"Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?

Market Context

"Mufasa: The Lion King" Rotten Tomatoes score?

About

Related

<60
$58,010 Vol.
Yes

60-69
$33,129 Vol.
No

70-79
$13,771 Vol.
No

80-89
$33,972 Vol.
No

90+
$16,404 Vol.
No