FC Dallas holds a slim 52.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite hosting Real Salt Lake on May 9 at Toyota Stadium, with draw and RSL victory both at 39.5% reflecting a tightly contested Western Conference matchup. Despite RSL's stronger table position in 4th versus Dallas' 7th, home advantage drives the edge, bolstered by FC Dallas' superior head-to-head record (28 wins in 57 meetings) and solid home form amid good overall start (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). RSL faces injury headwinds, including out forward Ariath Piol and recent questionables like Dejan Meleg and Chicho Arango, while Dallas copes without long-term absentees Geovane Jesus (cruciate) and Anderson Julio (leg); latest 1-1 draw for Dallas at St. Louis CITY SC highlights mutual momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf FC Dallas wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:19 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If FC Dallas wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:19 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...FC Dallas holds a slim 52.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite hosting Real Salt Lake on May 9 at Toyota Stadium, with draw and RSL victory both at 39.5% reflecting a tightly contested Western Conference matchup. Despite RSL's stronger table position in 4th versus Dallas' 7th, home advantage drives the edge, bolstered by FC Dallas' superior head-to-head record (28 wins in 57 meetings) and solid home form amid good overall start (3 wins, 3 draws, 1 loss). RSL faces injury headwinds, including out forward Ariath Piol and recent questionables like Dejan Meleg and Chicho Arango, while Dallas copes without long-term absentees Geovane Jesus (cruciate) and Anderson Julio (leg); latest 1-1 draw for Dallas at St. Louis CITY SC highlights mutual momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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