Philadelphia Union's 52% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their home advantage at Subaru Park in this Eastern Conference rivalry, amplified by snapping a six-game losing streak—their first 2026 MLS win, a gritty 2-1 road victory over CF Montréal last weekend that injected momentum ahead of Saturday's clash. D.C. United, holding 8th in the standings, have stumbled recently with a 1-0 defeat at New England Revolution and a 4-0 home thrashing by FC Dallas, curbing their 22% upset chances despite beating Union 1-0 in the February opener. The 26% draw reflects MLS parity in tight matchups, Union's long-term 22-8-9 MLS head-to-head dominance, and minor injuries on both sides like Quinn Sullivan's muscle issue for Philly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Mar 22, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresResolver
0x69c47De9D...Philadelphia Union's 52% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from their home advantage at Subaru Park in this Eastern Conference rivalry, amplified by snapping a six-game losing streak—their first 2026 MLS win, a gritty 2-1 road victory over CF Montréal last weekend that injected momentum ahead of Saturday's clash. D.C. United, holding 8th in the standings, have stumbled recently with a 1-0 defeat at New England Revolution and a 4-0 home thrashing by FC Dallas, curbing their 22% upset chances despite beating Union 1-0 in the February opener. The 26% draw reflects MLS parity in tight matchups, Union's long-term 22-8-9 MLS head-to-head dominance, and minor injuries on both sides like Quinn Sullivan's muscle issue for Philly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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