Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоИспания 16.9%
Франция 16.6%
Англия 11.2%
Португалия 10.2%
$1,289,597,602 Объем
$1,289,597,602 Объем
20 июл. 2026 г.
Испания
17%
Франция
17%
Англия
11%
Португалия
10%
Бразилия
9%
Аргентина
9%
Германия
5%
Нидерланды
4%
Норвегия
3%
Колумбия
2%
Япония
2%
Бельгия
2%
Марокко
1%
Швейцария
1%
США
1%
Уругвай
1%
Мексика
1%
Эквадор
1%
Хорватия
1%
Турция
1%
Сенегал
1%
Австрия
1%
Швеция
1%
Канада
<1%
Южная Корея
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
<1%
Парагвай
<1%
Шотландия
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%
Чехия
<1%
Египет
<1%
Иран
<1%
Алжир
<1%
Тунис
<1%
ДР Конго
<1%
Австралия
<1%
Новая Зеландия
<1%
Гаити
<1%
Иордания
<1%
Кюрасао
<1%
Узбекистан
<1%
Панама
<1%
Ирак
<1%
Южная Африка
<1%
Кабо-Верде
<1%
Катар
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Испания 16.9%
Франция 16.6%
Англия 11.2%
Португалия 10.2%
$1,289,597,602 Объем
$1,289,597,602 Объем
20 июл. 2026 г.
Испания
$25,612,878 Объем
17%
Франция
$31,899,652 Объем
17%
Англия
$21,272,025 Объем
11%
Португалия
$25,963,831 Объем
10%
Бразилия
$23,036,384 Объем
9%
Аргентина
$22,767,411 Объем
9%
Германия
$21,874,333 Объем
5%
Нидерланды
$24,660,281 Объем
4%
Норвегия
$25,969,310 Объем
3%
Колумбия
$21,364,005 Объем
2%
Япония
$27,862,805 Объем
2%
Бельгия
$21,304,944 Объем
2%
Марокко
$27,803,201 Объем
1%
Швейцария
$23,997,947 Объем
1%
США
$40,192,423 Объем
1%
Уругвай
$22,202,588 Объем
1%
Мексика
$26,241,793 Объем
1%
Эквадор
$29,030,156 Объем
1%
Хорватия
$28,961,624 Объем
1%
Турция
$17,869,254 Объем
1%
Сенегал
$24,389,767 Объем
1%
Австрия
$29,313,886 Объем
1%
Швеция
$15,848,779 Объем
1%
Канада
$29,283,275 Объем
<1%
Южная Корея
$32,020,745 Объем
<1%
Ghana
$24,154,528 Объем
<1%
Босния и Герцеговина
$13,799,165 Объем
<1%
Парагвай
$25,851,014 Объем
<1%
Шотландия
$30,057,127 Объем
<1%
Кот-д’Ивуар
$31,853,534 Объем
<1%
Чехия
$12,369,138 Объем
<1%
Египет
$29,867,016 Объем
<1%
Иран
$31,992,207 Объем
<1%
Алжир
$26,659,298 Объем
<1%
Тунис
$27,823,459 Объем
<1%
ДР Конго
$26,839,271 Объем
<1%
Австралия
$28,887,683 Объем
<1%
Новая Зеландия
$35,129,139 Объем
<1%
Гаити
$20,083,330 Объем
<1%
Иордания
$30,415,177 Объем
<1%
Кюрасао
$40,369,927 Объем
<1%
Узбекистан
$47,539,254 Объем
<1%
Панама
$17,501,578 Объем
<1%
Ирак
$16,488,111 Объем
<1%
Южная Африка
$33,178,094 Объем
<1%
Кабо-Верде
$27,529,508 Объем
<1%
Катар
$29,244,253 Объем
<1%
Саудовская Аравия
$32,326,586 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Объем
$1,289,597,602Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$1,289,597,602Дата окончания
20 июл. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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