France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоФранция 18.4%
Испания 13.7%
Англия 12.8%
Аргентина 11.8%
$2,659,189,759 Объем
$2,659,189,759 Объем

Франция
18%

Испания
14%

Англия
13%

Аргентина
12%

Португалия
7%

Бразилия
7%

Германия
6%

Нидерланды
4%

Норвегия
3%

США
2%

Марокко
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

Бельгия
2%

Мексика
1%

Швейцария
1%

Сенегал
1%

Хорватия
1%

Уругвай
1%

Швеция
1%

Турция
<1%

Эквадор
<1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Канада
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Египет
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Иран
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Катар
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%
Франция 18.4%
Испания 13.7%
Англия 12.8%
Аргентина 11.8%
$2,659,189,759 Объем
$2,659,189,759 Объем

Франция
18%

Испания
14%

Англия
13%

Аргентина
12%

Португалия
7%

Бразилия
7%

Германия
6%

Нидерланды
4%

Норвегия
3%

США
2%

Марокко
2%

Колумбия
2%

Япония
2%

Бельгия
2%

Мексика
1%

Швейцария
1%

Сенегал
1%

Хорватия
1%

Уругвай
1%

Швеция
1%

Турция
<1%

Эквадор
<1%

Кот-д’Ивуар
<1%

Австралия
<1%

Австрия
<1%

Южная Корея
<1%

Канада
<1%

Шотландия
<1%

Египет
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Алжир
<1%

Парагвай
<1%

ДР Конго
<1%

Новая Зеландия
<1%

Гаити
<1%

Иордания
<1%

Кюрасао
<1%

Иран
<1%

Босния и Герцеговина
<1%

Тунис
<1%

Узбекистан
<1%

Панама
<1%

Ирак
<1%

Южная Африка
<1%

Кабо-Верде
<1%

Чехия
<1%

Катар
<1%

Саудовская Аравия
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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