Reigning UFC flyweight champion Joshua Van's December 2025 title win over Alexandre Pantoja via first-round injury TKO remains contentious, fueling trader doubts reflected in his trailing 25.5% implied probability amid an imminent first defense against unbeaten contender Tatsuro Taira at UFC 327 on April 11. Pantoja leads at 37.5% on his multi-defense championship pedigree and likely rematch path, while Taira's recent second-round TKO of Brandon Moreno and Manel Kape's first-round demolition of Brandon Royval propel their 33.5% and 31.5% shares. Recent rankings—Van (1), Pantoja (2), Taira (3), Kape (4)—underscore the division's elite depth and stylistic clashes keeping end-of-2026 futures tightly contested.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДжошуа Ван 50%
Александр Пантоха 32%
Кёдзи Хоригучи 5.1%
Тим Эллиотт 1.3%
Джошуа Ван
50%
Александр Пантоха
40%
Кёдзи Хоригучи
5%
Тим Эллиотт
1%
Брендон Морено
<1%
Брэндон Ройвал
<1%
Асу Алмабаев
<1%
Амир Албази
<1%
Стив Эрцег
<1%
Мане Капе
33%
Тацуро Тайра
34%
Джошуа Ван 50%
Александр Пантоха 32%
Кёдзи Хоригучи 5.1%
Тим Эллиотт 1.3%
Джошуа Ван
50%
Александр Пантоха
40%
Кёдзи Хоригучи
5%
Тим Эллиотт
1%
Брендон Морено
<1%
Брэндон Ройвал
<1%
Асу Алмабаев
<1%
Амир Албази
<1%
Стив Эрцег
<1%
Мане Капе
33%
Тацуро Тайра
34%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Открытие рынка: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Reigning UFC flyweight champion Joshua Van's December 2025 title win over Alexandre Pantoja via first-round injury TKO remains contentious, fueling trader doubts reflected in his trailing 25.5% implied probability amid an imminent first defense against unbeaten contender Tatsuro Taira at UFC 327 on April 11. Pantoja leads at 37.5% on his multi-defense championship pedigree and likely rematch path, while Taira's recent second-round TKO of Brandon Moreno and Manel Kape's first-round demolition of Brandon Royval propel their 33.5% and 31.5% shares. Recent rankings—Van (1), Pantoja (2), Taira (3), Kape (4)—underscore the division's elite depth and stylistic clashes keeping end-of-2026 futures tightly contested.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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