Trader consensus heavily favors Ilia Topuria at 68% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through year's end, reflecting his undefeated record, pound-for-pound elite status, and dominant KO conquest of Charles Oliveira for the belt in June 2025 after Islam Makhachev vacated for welterweight. Despite Topuria's inactivity since amid personal challenges, his upcoming undisputed title defense against interim champion Justin Gaethje on June 14 at UFC White House underscores confidence in his knockout power and finishing ability. Arman Tsarukyan's 20% share stems from elite wrestling lauded by Khabib Nurmagomedov as a stylistic nightmare for Topuria, plus his submission win over Dan Hooker in November 2025. Oliveira's recent dominant decision over Max Holloway at UFC 326 elevates his veteran submission threat to 12.8%, while Gaethje's interim title via Pimblett stoppage fuels his 11.5% upset potential in explosive matchups.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИлия Топурия 68%
Арман Царукян 17%
Чарльз Оливейра 11.5%
Джастин Гейджи 11.4%
$15,513 Объем
$15,513 Объем
Илия Топурия
68%
Арман Царукян
17%
Чарльз Оливейра
12%
Макс Холлоуэй
4%
Джастин Гейджи
11%
Пэдди Пимблетт
1%
Дэн Хукер
1%
Матеуш Гамрот
<1%
Бенуа Сент-Дени
1%
Рафаэль Физиев
1%
Ренато Мойкано
<1%
Илия Топурия 68%
Арман Царукян 17%
Чарльз Оливейра 11.5%
Джастин Гейджи 11.4%
$15,513 Объем
$15,513 Объем
Илия Топурия
68%
Арман Царукян
17%
Чарльз Оливейра
12%
Макс Холлоуэй
4%
Джастин Гейджи
11%
Пэдди Пимблетт
1%
Дэн Хукер
1%
Матеуш Гамрот
<1%
Бенуа Сент-Дени
1%
Рафаэль Физиев
1%
Ренато Мойкано
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Открытие рынка: Jan 4, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Ilia Topuria at 68% implied probability to hold the UFC lightweight title through year's end, reflecting his undefeated record, pound-for-pound elite status, and dominant KO conquest of Charles Oliveira for the belt in June 2025 after Islam Makhachev vacated for welterweight. Despite Topuria's inactivity since amid personal challenges, his upcoming undisputed title defense against interim champion Justin Gaethje on June 14 at UFC White House underscores confidence in his knockout power and finishing ability. Arman Tsarukyan's 20% share stems from elite wrestling lauded by Khabib Nurmagomedov as a stylistic nightmare for Topuria, plus his submission win over Dan Hooker in November 2025. Oliveira's recent dominant decision over Max Holloway at UFC 326 elevates his veteran submission threat to 12.8%, while Gaethje's interim title via Pimblett stoppage fuels his 11.5% upset potential in explosive matchups.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы