Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Market icon
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Walt Weiss 44%

Clayton McCullough 44%

Don Kelly 44%

Dave Roberts 44%

Polymarket
NEW

Walt Weiss 44%

Clayton McCullough 44%

Don Kelly 44%

Dave Roberts 44%

Polymarket
NEW

Walt Weiss

$0 Vol.

44%

Clayton McCullough

$0 Vol.

44%

Don Kelly

$0 Vol.

44%

Dave Roberts

$0 Vol.

44%

Torey Lovullo

$0 Vol.

44%

Craig Counsell

$0 Vol.

44%

Warren Schaeffer

$0 Vol.

44%

Pat Murphy

$0 Vol.

44%

Rob Thomson

$0 Vol.

44%

Craig Stammen

$0 Vol.

44%

Blake Butera

$0 Vol.

44%

Oliver Marmol

$0 Vol.

44%

Tony Vitello

$0 Vol.

30%

Terry Francona

$0 Vol.

27%

Carlos Mendoza

$9,314 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead-even NL Manager of the Year race at 43.5% implied odds for frontrunners like Walt Weiss, Terry Francona, Clayton McCullough, and others, underscoring preseason uncertainty just after the 2026 MLB opener. Weiss earned immediate buzz with the Braves' 6-0 debut shutout, boosting his case as a post-Snitker hire for a perennial contender, while McCullough helms a Marlins rebuild poised for overachievement. Differentiators include Pat Murphy's repeat potential after back-to-back wins, Counsell's Cubs momentum from strong projections, and turnaround bets on Mendoza's Mets or Kelly's Pirates. Historical BBWAA patterns favor surprise playoff pushes; watch April standings and roster health for momentum shifts in this wisdom-of-crowds market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead-even NL Manager of the Year race at 43.5% implied odds for frontrunners like Walt Weiss, Terry Francona, Clayton McCullough, and others, underscoring preseason uncertainty just after the 2026 MLB opener. Weiss earned immediate buzz with the Braves' 6-0 debut shutout, boosting his case as a post-Snitker hire for a perennial contender, while McCullough helms a Marlins rebuild poised for overachievement. Differentiators include Pat Murphy's repeat potential after back-to-back wins, Counsell's Cubs momentum from strong projections, and turnaround bets on Mendoza's Mets or Kelly's Pirates. Historical BBWAA patterns favor surprise playoff pushes; watch April standings and roster health for momentum shifts in this wisdom-of-crowds market.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead-even NL Manager of the Year race at 43.5% implied odds for frontrunners like Walt Weiss, Terry Francona, Clayton McCullough, and others, underscoring preseason uncertainty just after the 2026 MLB opener. Weiss earned immediate buzz with the Braves' 6-0 debut shutout, boosting his case as a post-Snitker hire for a perennial contender, while McCullough helms a Marlins rebuild poised for overachievement. Differentiators include Pat Murphy's repeat potential after back-to-back wins, Counsell's Cubs momentum from strong projections, and turnaround bets on Mendoza's Mets or Kelly's Pirates. Historical BBWAA patterns favor surprise playoff pushes; watch April standings and roster health for momentum shifts in this wisdom-of-crowds market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a dead-even NL Manager of the Year race at 43.5% implied odds for frontrunners like Walt Weiss, Terry Francona, Clayton McCullough, and others, underscoring preseason uncertainty just after the 2026 MLB opener. Weiss earned immediate buzz with the Braves' 6-0 debut shutout, boosting his case as a post-Snitker hire for a perennial contender, while McCullough helms a Marlins rebuild poised for overachievement. Differentiators include Pat Murphy's repeat potential after back-to-back wins, Counsell's Cubs momentum from strong projections, and turnaround bets on Mendoza's Mets or Kelly's Pirates. Historical BBWAA patterns favor surprise playoff pushes; watch April standings and roster health for momentum shifts in this wisdom-of-crowds market.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Craig Albernaz win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?

45%
Market icon

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

46%
Market icon

Will Tanner Scott win the 2026 NL Comeback Player of the Year award?

37%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Walt Weiss" at 44%, followed by "Clayton McCullough" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 44¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 26, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: NL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is "Walt Weiss" at 44%, meaning the market assigns a 44% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Clayton McCullough" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.