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Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Market icon
Sports·Hank Aaron

MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner

Shohei Ohtani 65%

Juan Soto 16%

Francisco Lindor 9.9%

Ronald Acuña Jr. 4.4%

Polymarket

$114,805 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani 65%

Juan Soto 16%

Francisco Lindor 9.9%

Ronald Acuña Jr. 4.4%

Polymarket

$114,805 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani

$3,251 Vol.

65%

Juan Soto

$30,151 Vol.

16%

Francisco Lindor

$172 Vol.

10%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$165 Vol.

4%

Kyle Schwarber

$80,458 Vol.

6%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$88 Vol.

2%

Bryce Harper

$84 Vol.

2%

Mookie Betts

$84 Vol.

2%

Ketel Marte

$122 Vol.

1%

Pete Crow-Armstrong

$231 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award thanks to his elite offensive track record, early-season power surge with 5 home runs and 10 RBIs across 19 games at .265 batting average, and the Dodgers' lineup protecting him for high counting stats like total bases and RBIs. Juan Soto's scorching .355 average, .928 OPS, and 5 RBIs in 8 games with the Mets propel him to 15.5%, amplified by his plate discipline and new NL East power duo alongside Francisco Lindor (9.6% despite .200 start and 1 HR in 20 games). Kyle Schwarber's Phillies slugging keeps him relevant at 5.9%, while Ronald Acuña Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr., and Bryce Harper trail amid slower starts or health questions; no major injuries or roster moves have shifted odds in the past week beyond Ohtani's recent pitcher-only outing versus the Mets where Dodgers swept.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$114,805
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Shohei Ohtani leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability for the 2026 NL Hank Aaron Award thanks to his elite offensive track record, early-season power surge with 5 home runs and 10 RBIs across 19 games at .265 batting average, and the Dodgers' lineup protecting him for high counting stats like total bases and RBIs. Juan Soto's scorching .355 average, .928 OPS, and 5 RBIs in 8 games with the Mets propel him to 15.5%, amplified by his plate discipline and new NL East power duo alongside Francisco Lindor (9.6% despite .200 start and 1 HR in 20 games). Kyle Schwarber's Phillies slugging keeps him relevant at 5.9%, while Ronald Acuña Jr., Fernando Tatis Jr., and Bryce Harper trail amid slower starts or health questions; no major injuries or roster moves have shifted odds in the past week beyond Ohtani's recent pitcher-only outing versus the Mets where Dodgers swept.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$114,805
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

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Will Aaron Judge win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?

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Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

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Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

25%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 65%, followed by "Juan Soto" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 65¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" has generated $114.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 65%, meaning the market assigns a 65% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Juan Soto" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.