Trader consensus crowns the Los Angeles Dodgers at 46.5% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their defending World Series championship pedigree, elite rotation depth, and aggressive offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker to complement Ohtani, Betts, and Freeman amid a healthy injured list outlook. The New York Mets vaulted to 16.0% via a roster overhaul, landing Bo Bichette and Alex Bregman in transformative deals that enhance lineup firepower despite a post-2025 reset. Philadelphia Phillies (9.0%) leverage their dominant 2025 NL East title—won by 13 games—and bullpen clarity, while Atlanta Braves (8.0%) eye rebound from injury-riddled campaigns with a fortified pitching staff. Chicago Cubs (7.0%) and San Diego Padres (6.8%) round out contenders on prospect surges and balanced matchups, with early-season standings yet to shift projections as Opening Day rosters solidify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedMLB: 2026 National League Champion
MLB: 2026 National League Champion
Los Angeles Dodgers 47%
New York Mets 15%
Philadelphia Phillies 9%
Atlanta Braves 8%
$2,474,708 Vol.
$2,474,708 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
47%
New York Mets
15%
Philadelphia Phillies
9%
Atlanta Braves
8%
Chicago Cubs
7%
San Diego Padres
7%
Milwaukee Brewers
5%
Pittsburgh Pirates
3%
Cincinnati Reds
3%
Arizona Diamondbacks
2%
San Francisco Giants
1%
Colorado Rockies
1%
St. Louis Cardinals
1%
Miami Marlins
1%
Washington Nationals
<1%
Los Angeles Dodgers 47%
New York Mets 15%
Philadelphia Phillies 9%
Atlanta Braves 8%
$2,474,708 Vol.
$2,474,708 Vol.
Los Angeles Dodgers
47%
New York Mets
15%
Philadelphia Phillies
9%
Atlanta Braves
8%
Chicago Cubs
7%
San Diego Padres
7%
Milwaukee Brewers
5%
Pittsburgh Pirates
3%
Cincinnati Reds
3%
Arizona Diamondbacks
2%
San Francisco Giants
1%
Colorado Rockies
1%
St. Louis Cardinals
1%
Miami Marlins
1%
Washington Nationals
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus crowns the Los Angeles Dodgers at 46.5% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their defending World Series championship pedigree, elite rotation depth, and aggressive offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker to complement Ohtani, Betts, and Freeman amid a healthy injured list outlook. The New York Mets vaulted to 16.0% via a roster overhaul, landing Bo Bichette and Alex Bregman in transformative deals that enhance lineup firepower despite a post-2025 reset. Philadelphia Phillies (9.0%) leverage their dominant 2025 NL East title—won by 13 games—and bullpen clarity, while Atlanta Braves (8.0%) eye rebound from injury-riddled campaigns with a fortified pitching staff. Chicago Cubs (7.0%) and San Diego Padres (6.8%) round out contenders on prospect surges and balanced matchups, with early-season standings yet to shift projections as Opening Day rosters solidify.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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