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Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Market icon
Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Los Angeles Dodgers 45%

New York Mets 14%

San Diego Padres 9.8%

Philadelphia Phillies 9%

Polymarket

$1,735,813 Vol.

Los Angeles Dodgers 45%

New York Mets 14%

San Diego Padres 9.8%

Philadelphia Phillies 9%

Polymarket

$1,735,813 Vol.

Los Angeles Dodgers

$1,734 Vol.

45%

New York Mets

$47,625 Vol.

14%

San Diego Padres

$449,260 Vol.

10%

Philadelphia Phillies

$0 Vol.

9%

Atlanta Braves

$16,264 Vol.

8%

Chicago Cubs

$0 Vol.

8%

Milwaukee Brewers

$369,683 Vol.

5%

Pittsburgh Pirates

$457,510 Vol.

3%

Cincinnati Reds

$140,899 Vol.

2%

Arizona Diamondbacks

$143,262 Vol.

2%

San Francisco Giants

$0 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rockies

$0 Vol.

1%

St. Louis Cardinals

$76,668 Vol.

1%

Miami Marlins

$21,066 Vol.

1%

Washington Nationals

$11,842 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 44.5% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their back-to-back World Series titles, blockbuster offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker on a four-year, $240 million deal, and Shohei Ohtani's full return to the rotation alongside a projected 96-win pace per FanGraphs—far ahead of the next NL contender at 88 wins. The New York Mets trail at 13.5% after aggressive moves including trading for starter Freddy Peralta, signing reliever Devin Williams and third baseman Bo Bichette, bolstering their rotation and bullpen for a playoff push. San Diego Padres (9.8%) face headwinds from losing Yu Darvish to elbow surgery and Dylan Cease in free agency, plus recent spring training injuries like Bryan Hoeing's elbow issue on the injured list. Philadelphia Phillies (9.0%) solidified their lineup by re-signing Kyle Schwarber to a five-year pact, while Chicago Cubs (7.5%) and Atlanta Braves (7.5%) benefit from Alex Bregman's addition to the Cubs' infield and steady Brewers projections amid a competitive NL Central.

Trader consensus favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 44.5% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their back-to-back World Series titles, blockbuster offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker on a four-year, $240 million deal, and Shohei Ohtani's full return to the rotation alongside a projected 96-win pace per FanGraphs—far ahead of the next NL contender at 88 wins. The New York Mets trail at 13.5% after aggressive moves including trading for starter Freddy Peralta, signing reliever Devin Williams and third baseman Bo Bichette, bolstering their rotation and bullpen for a playoff push. San Diego Padres (9.8%) face headwinds from losing Yu Darvish to elbow surgery and Dylan Cease in free agency, plus recent spring training injuries like Bryan Hoeing's elbow issue on the injured list. Philadelphia Phillies (9.0%) solidified their lineup by re-signing Kyle Schwarber to a five-year pact, while Chicago Cubs (7.5%) and Atlanta Braves (7.5%) benefit from Alex Bregman's addition to the Cubs' infield and steady Brewers projections amid a competitive NL Central.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 44.5% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their back-to-back World Series titles, blockbuster offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker on a four-year, $240 million deal, and Shohei Ohtani's full return to the rotation alongside a projected 96-win pace per FanGraphs—far ahead of the next NL contender at 88 wins. The New York Mets trail at 13.5% after aggressive moves including trading for starter Freddy Peralta, signing reliever Devin Williams and third baseman Bo Bichette, bolstering their rotation and bullpen for a playoff push. San Diego Padres (9.8%) face headwinds from losing Yu Darvish to elbow surgery and Dylan Cease in free agency, plus recent spring training injuries like Bryan Hoeing's elbow issue on the injured list. Philadelphia Phillies (9.0%) solidified their lineup by re-signing Kyle Schwarber to a five-year pact, while Chicago Cubs (7.5%) and Atlanta Braves (7.5%) benefit from Alex Bregman's addition to the Cubs' infield and steady Brewers projections amid a competitive NL Central.

Trader consensus favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 44.5% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their back-to-back World Series titles, blockbuster offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker on a four-year, $240 million deal, and Shohei Ohtani's full return to the rotation alongside a projected 96-win pace per FanGraphs—far ahead of the next NL contender at 88 wins. The New York Mets trail at 13.5% after aggressive moves including trading for starter Freddy Peralta, signing reliever Devin Williams and third baseman Bo Bichette, bolstering their rotation and bullpen for a playoff push. San Diego Padres (9.8%) face headwinds from losing Yu Darvish to elbow surgery and Dylan Cease in free agency, plus recent spring training injuries like Bryan Hoeing's elbow issue on the injured list. Philadelphia Phillies (9.0%) solidified their lineup by re-signing Kyle Schwarber to a five-year pact, while Chicago Cubs (7.5%) and Atlanta Braves (7.5%) benefit from Alex Bregman's addition to the Cubs' infield and steady Brewers projections amid a competitive NL Central.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

17%
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Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

26%
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Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title?

35%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 National League Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Los Angeles Dodgers" at 45%, followed by "New York Mets" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 45¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 National League Champion" has generated $1.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 National League Champion," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 National League Champion" is "Los Angeles Dodgers" at 45%, meaning the market assigns a 45% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New York Mets" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 National League Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.