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Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Market icon
Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 National League Champion

Los Angeles Dodgers 43%

New York Mets 15%

San Diego Padres 9.9%

Philadelphia Phillies 9%

Polymarket

$1,437,432 Vol.

Los Angeles Dodgers 43%

New York Mets 15%

San Diego Padres 9.9%

Philadelphia Phillies 9%

Polymarket

$1,437,432 Vol.

Los Angeles Dodgers

$1,734 Vol.

43%

New York Mets

$47,625 Vol.

15%

San Diego Padres

$446,883 Vol.

10%

Philadelphia Phillies

$0 Vol.

9%

Atlanta Braves

$16,264 Vol.

8%

Chicago Cubs

$0 Vol.

8%

Milwaukee Brewers

$369,683 Vol.

5%

Pittsburgh Pirates

$457,510 Vol.

3%

Arizona Diamondbacks

$0 Vol.

2%

Cincinnati Reds

$0 Vol.

2%

San Francisco Giants

$0 Vol.

1%

Colorado Rockies

$0 Vol.

1%

St. Louis Cardinals

$76,668 Vol.

1%

Miami Marlins

$21,066 Vol.

1%

Washington Nationals

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 43% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their aggressive offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker to complement a loaded lineup with Shohei Ohtani's full return to the pitching rotation alongside Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, plus a deep bullpen and rotation despite minor spring training setbacks like Gavin Stone's shoulder issue sidelining him until May. The New York Mets sit second at 13.5% after overhauling 30% of their roster, including All-Star right-hander Freddy Peralta, positioning them as East Division challengers to the Phillies (9%) and Braves (7.5%). San Diego Padres (9.6%) and surging Chicago Cubs (7.5%) round out the competitive tier amid balanced NL West and Central projections, with Fangraphs giving Dodgers 93% NL West odds reflecting their dynasty path post-World Series repeat bid.

Trader consensus heavily favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 43% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their aggressive offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker to complement a loaded lineup with Shohei Ohtani's full return to the pitching rotation alongside Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, plus a deep bullpen and rotation despite minor spring training setbacks like Gavin Stone's shoulder issue sidelining him until May. The New York Mets sit second at 13.5% after overhauling 30% of their roster, including All-Star right-hander Freddy Peralta, positioning them as East Division challengers to the Phillies (9%) and Braves (7.5%). San Diego Padres (9.6%) and surging Chicago Cubs (7.5%) round out the competitive tier amid balanced NL West and Central projections, with Fangraphs giving Dodgers 93% NL West odds reflecting their dynasty path post-World Series repeat bid.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 National League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 National League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 National League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 43% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their aggressive offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker to complement a loaded lineup with Shohei Ohtani's full return to the pitching rotation alongside Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, plus a deep bullpen and rotation despite minor spring training setbacks like Gavin Stone's shoulder issue sidelining him until May. The New York Mets sit second at 13.5% after overhauling 30% of their roster, including All-Star right-hander Freddy Peralta, positioning them as East Division challengers to the Phillies (9%) and Braves (7.5%). San Diego Padres (9.6%) and surging Chicago Cubs (7.5%) round out the competitive tier amid balanced NL West and Central projections, with Fangraphs giving Dodgers 93% NL West odds reflecting their dynasty path post-World Series repeat bid.

Trader consensus heavily favors the Los Angeles Dodgers at 43% implied probability to win the 2026 National League pennant, driven by their aggressive offseason acquisition of outfielder Kyle Tucker to complement a loaded lineup with Shohei Ohtani's full return to the pitching rotation alongside Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman, plus a deep bullpen and rotation despite minor spring training setbacks like Gavin Stone's shoulder issue sidelining him until May. The New York Mets sit second at 13.5% after overhauling 30% of their roster, including All-Star right-hander Freddy Peralta, positioning them as East Division challengers to the Phillies (9%) and Braves (7.5%). San Diego Padres (9.6%) and surging Chicago Cubs (7.5%) round out the competitive tier amid balanced NL West and Central projections, with Fangraphs giving Dodgers 93% NL West odds reflecting their dynasty path post-World Series repeat bid.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

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Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?

17%
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Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

26%
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Will New York Mets win the 2026 NL East title?

35%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 National League Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Los Angeles Dodgers" at 43%, followed by "New York Mets" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 National League Champion" has generated $1.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 National League Champion," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 National League Champion" is "Los Angeles Dodgers" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New York Mets" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 National League Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.