Market icon
Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Market icon
Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

New York Yankees 17%

Seattle Mariners 16%

Toronto Blue Jays 12%

Boston Red Sox 12%

Polymarket

$3,242,795 Vol.

New York Yankees 17%

Seattle Mariners 16%

Toronto Blue Jays 12%

Boston Red Sox 12%

Polymarket

$3,242,795 Vol.

New York Yankees

$21,788 Vol.

17%

Seattle Mariners

$13,195 Vol.

16%

Toronto Blue Jays

$111,714 Vol.

12%

Boston Red Sox

$12,710 Vol.

12%

Detroit Tigers

$83,313 Vol.

10%

Baltimore Orioles

$39,135 Vol.

8%

Texas Rangers

$6,749 Vol.

7%

Houston Astros

$752,524 Vol.

6%

Cleveland Guardians

$685,809 Vol.

4%

Kansas City Royals

$486,753 Vol.

4%

Athletics

$118,707 Vol.

2%

Tampa Bay Rays

$311,254 Vol.

1%

Minnesota Twins

$231,939 Vol.

1%

Los Angeles Angels

$289,152 Vol.

1%

Chicago White Sox

$78,053 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a wide-open American League pennant race, with the New York Yankees' star-studded lineup led by Aaron Judge holding a slim edge at 16.5% implied probability amid fierce AL East competition from Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox, both bolstered by breakout prospects like Roman Anthony and a deep outfield. Seattle Mariners' elite rotation and Cal Raleigh's power anchor the AL West favorite status at 15.5%, while Detroit Tigers' young core and spring training momentum position them atop a winnable AL Central at 9.5%. Recent previews highlight parity from offseason trades enhancing rotations across divisions, balanced by injury recoveries like Gerrit Cole's expected May return, keeping probabilities tightly bunched without a clear dominant force.

Trader consensus reflects a wide-open American League pennant race, with the New York Yankees' star-studded lineup led by Aaron Judge holding a slim edge at 16.5% implied probability amid fierce AL East competition from Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox, both bolstered by breakout prospects like Roman Anthony and a deep outfield. Seattle Mariners' elite rotation and Cal Raleigh's power anchor the AL West favorite status at 15.5%, while Detroit Tigers' young core and spring training momentum position them atop a winnable AL Central at 9.5%. Recent previews highlight parity from offseason trades enhancing rotations across divisions, balanced by injury recoveries like Gerrit Cole's expected May return, keeping probabilities tightly bunched without a clear dominant force.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects a wide-open American League pennant race, with the New York Yankees' star-studded lineup led by Aaron Judge holding a slim edge at 16.5% implied probability amid fierce AL East competition from Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox, both bolstered by breakout prospects like Roman Anthony and a deep outfield. Seattle Mariners' elite rotation and Cal Raleigh's power anchor the AL West favorite status at 15.5%, while Detroit Tigers' young core and spring training momentum position them atop a winnable AL Central at 9.5%. Recent previews highlight parity from offseason trades enhancing rotations across divisions, balanced by injury recoveries like Gerrit Cole's expected May return, keeping probabilities tightly bunched without a clear dominant force.

Trader consensus reflects a wide-open American League pennant race, with the New York Yankees' star-studded lineup led by Aaron Judge holding a slim edge at 16.5% implied probability amid fierce AL East competition from Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox, both bolstered by breakout prospects like Roman Anthony and a deep outfield. Seattle Mariners' elite rotation and Cal Raleigh's power anchor the AL West favorite status at 15.5%, while Detroit Tigers' young core and spring training momentum position them atop a winnable AL Central at 9.5%. Recent previews highlight parity from offseason trades enhancing rotations across divisions, balanced by injury recoveries like Gerrit Cole's expected May return, keeping probabilities tightly bunched without a clear dominant force.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Related

Market icon

Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?

46%
Market icon

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?

27%
Market icon

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?

34%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New York Yankees" at 17%, followed by "Seattle Mariners" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" has generated $3.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 American League Champion," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is "New York Yankees" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Seattle Mariners" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.