Meta's stock price for the week of August 17 settled near $546 amid a sharp selloff triggered by the opening of a landmark federal trial in California, where attorneys general from 29 states allege the company designed Facebook and Instagram to be addictive to minors, with potential damages cited as high as $1.4 trillion. The proceedings follow a recent adverse ruling in New Mexico and coincide with elevated AI infrastructure costs that pressured Q2 margins despite 28% revenue growth. Traders appear to view these legal overhangs and capex commitments as dominant near-term factors keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $550-$560 range, with limited upside priced in until trial developments or AI monetization clarity emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$550 100.0%
$550-$560 <1%
$560-$570 <1%
$570-$580 <1%
$5,939 Vol.
$5,939 Vol.
<$550
Yes
$550-$560
No
$560-$570
No
$570-$580
No
$580-$590
No
$590-$600
No
$600-$610
No
$610-$620
No
$620-$630
No
$630-$640
No
>$640
No
<$550 100.0%
$550-$560 <1%
$560-$570 <1%
$570-$580 <1%
$5,939 Vol.
$5,939 Vol.
<$550
Yes
$550-$560
No
$560-$570
No
$570-$580
No
$580-$590
No
$590-$600
No
$600-$610
No
$610-$620
No
$620-$630
No
$630-$640
No
>$640
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.META%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Meta's stock price for the week of August 17 settled near $546 amid a sharp selloff triggered by the opening of a landmark federal trial in California, where attorneys general from 29 states allege the company designed Facebook and Instagram to be addictive to minors, with potential damages cited as high as $1.4 trillion. The proceedings follow a recent adverse ruling in New Mexico and coincide with elevated AI infrastructure costs that pressured Q2 margins despite 28% revenue growth. Traders appear to view these legal overhangs and capex commitments as dominant near-term factors keeping implied probabilities concentrated in the $550-$560 range, with limited upside priced in until trial developments or AI monetization clarity emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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