Meta’s current share price near $648 implies a market capitalization of roughly $1.65 trillion, aligning with the leading $1.50–$1.75 trillion bracket. Trader sentiment centers on the rapid early traction of the Muse personal AI agent and Muse Spark models released in early September, which have driven analyst upgrades including JPMorgan’s shift to Overweight and a raised $820 price target. These developments highlight Meta’s push into agentic AI and potential new revenue streams beyond advertising, offsetting concerns over elevated 2026 capital expenditures of $130–145 billion and the recent multi-billion-dollar child-safety settlement. With no major earnings catalyst until late October, short-term price action through month-end will likely hinge on sustained AI momentum and broader market conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.50-$1.75T 55.5%
$1.75-$2.00T 20.6%
$1.25-$1.50T 8%
$2.00-$2.25T 5.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.00T
4%
$1.00-$1.25T
3%
$1.25-$1.50T
8%
$1.50-$1.75T
55%
$1.75-$2.00T
21%
$2.00-$2.25T
5%
$2.25T+
5%
$1.50-$1.75T 55.5%
$1.75-$2.00T 20.6%
$1.25-$1.50T 8%
$2.00-$2.25T 5.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 30, 2026
<$1.00T
$492 Vol.
4%
$1.00-$1.25T
$120 Vol.
3%
$1.25-$1.50T
$6,383 Vol.
8%
$1.50-$1.75T
$1,407 Vol.
55%
$1.75-$2.00T
$435 Vol.
21%
$2.00-$2.25T
$220 Vol.
5%
$2.25T+
$268 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current share price near $648 implies a market capitalization of roughly $1.65 trillion, aligning with the leading $1.50–$1.75 trillion bracket. Trader sentiment centers on the rapid early traction of the Muse personal AI agent and Muse Spark models released in early September, which have driven analyst upgrades including JPMorgan’s shift to Overweight and a raised $820 price target. These developments highlight Meta’s push into agentic AI and potential new revenue streams beyond advertising, offsetting concerns over elevated 2026 capital expenditures of $130–145 billion and the recent multi-billion-dollar child-safety settlement. With no major earnings catalyst until late October, short-term price action through month-end will likely hinge on sustained AI momentum and broader market conditions.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
Volume
$9,325End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current share price near $648 implies a market capitalization of roughly $1.65 trillion, aligning with the leading $1.50–$1.75 trillion bracket. Trader sentiment centers on the rapid early traction of the Muse personal AI agent and Muse Spark models released in early September, which have driven analyst upgrades including JPMorgan’s shift to Overweight and a raised $820 price target. These developments highlight Meta’s push into agentic AI and potential new revenue streams beyond advertising, offsetting concerns over elevated 2026 capital expenditures of $130–145 billion and the recent multi-billion-dollar child-safety settlement. With no major earnings catalyst until late October, short-term price action through month-end will likely hinge on sustained AI momentum and broader market conditions.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$9,325End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s current share price near $648 implies a market capitalization of roughly $1.65 trillion, aligning with the leading $1.50–$1.75 trillion bracket. Trader sentiment centers on the rapid early traction of the Muse personal AI agent and Muse Spark models released in early September, which have driven analyst upgrades including JPMorgan’s shift to Overweight and a raised $820 price target. These developments highlight Meta’s push into agentic AI and potential new revenue streams beyond advertising, offsetting concerns over elevated 2026 capital expenditures of $130–145 billion and the recent multi-billion-dollar child-safety settlement. With no major earnings catalyst until late October, short-term price action through month-end will likely hinge on sustained AI momentum and broader market conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions