Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$97,936,770 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
>$1B
$49,117,316 Vol.
100%
>$1B
$49,117,316 Vol.
100%
>$2B
$22,227,755 Vol.
100%
>$2B
$22,227,755 Vol.
100%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $1,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Created At: Nov 16, 2025, 11:38 PM UTC
Volume
$97,936,770End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Nov 16, 2025, 11:38 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Outcome proposed: Yes
Disputed
Final review
$97,936,770 Vol.
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
>$1B
$49,117,316 Vol.
100%
>$2B
$22,227,755 Vol.
100%
About
Volume
$97,936,770End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Nov 16, 2025, 11:38 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.