Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$100,315,426 Vol.
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
>$1B
$50,937,804 Vol.
100%
>$1B
$50,937,804 Vol.
100%
>$2B
$22,792,853 Vol.
100%
>$2B
$22,792,853 Vol.
100%
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Lighter's token is greater than $4,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Lighter doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Created At: Sep 17, 2025, 2:14 PM UTC
Volume
$100,315,426End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Sep 17, 2025, 2:14 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$100,315,426 Vol.
Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
>$1B
$50,937,804 Vol.
100%
>$2B
$22,792,853 Vol.
100%
About
Volume
$100,315,426End Date
Dec 31, 2025Created At
Sep 17, 2025, 2:14 PM UTCResolver
0x65070BE91...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.