Trader consensus slightly favors Deportivo Alavés at 45% implied probability in this La Liga relegation six-pointer at Estadio de Mendizorroza, reflecting home advantage amid both sides' struggles—Alavés sit 17th with poor home form, while RCD Mallorca languish 15th and falter away. Recent drama defines Alavés' momentum: dramatic 3-3 draws versus Real Sociedad (97' equalizer) and Osasuna (91'), a 4-3 comeback win from 3-0 down against Celta, but late concessions like a 99' penalty loss to Valencia highlight defensive frailty. Mallorca's upset late win via Muriqi against Real Madrid offers hope, yet key absences (Zito Luvumbo injured, Alavés' Facundo Garcés suspended) and frequent head-to-head draws (4 of last 15) keep the matchup competitive, with draw pricing at 30.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIf Deportivo Alavés wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Deportivo Alavés wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 2:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.laliga.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors Deportivo Alavés at 45% implied probability in this La Liga relegation six-pointer at Estadio de Mendizorroza, reflecting home advantage amid both sides' struggles—Alavés sit 17th with poor home form, while RCD Mallorca languish 15th and falter away. Recent drama defines Alavés' momentum: dramatic 3-3 draws versus Real Sociedad (97' equalizer) and Osasuna (91'), a 4-3 comeback win from 3-0 down against Celta, but late concessions like a 99' penalty loss to Valencia highlight defensive frailty. Mallorca's upset late win via Muriqi against Real Madrid offers hope, yet key absences (Zito Luvumbo injured, Alavés' Facundo Garcés suspended) and frequent head-to-head draws (4 of last 15) keep the matchup competitive, with draw pricing at 30.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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