June Unemployment Rate
$189,377 Vol.
4.1% 100.0%
≤4.0% <1%
4.2% <1%
4.3% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
≤4.0%
$24,613 Vol.
No
≤4.0%
$24,613 Vol.
No
4.1%
$39,418 Vol.
Yes
4.1%
$39,418 Vol.
Yes
4.2%
$17,895 Vol.
No
4.2%
$17,895 Vol.
No
4.3%
$31,196 Vol.
No
4.3%
$31,196 Vol.
No
4.4%
$29,227 Vol.
No
4.4%
$29,227 Vol.
No
≥4.5%
$47,028 Vol.
No
≥4.5%
$47,028 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for June 2025.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The next data release is scheduled for July 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The next data release is scheduled for July 3, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Jun 6, 2025, 6:57 PM UTC
Volume
$189,377End Date
Jul 3, 2025Created At
Jun 6, 2025, 6:57 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$189,377 Vol.
June Unemployment Rate
4.1% 100.0%
≤4.0% <1%
4.2% <1%
4.3% <1%
≤4.0%
$24,613 Vol.
No
4.1%
$39,418 Vol.
Yes
4.2%
$17,895 Vol.
No
4.3%
$31,196 Vol.
No
4.4%
$29,227 Vol.
No
≥4.5%
$47,028 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$189,377End Date
Jul 3, 2025Created At
Jun 6, 2025, 6:57 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.