Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?

$1,086,070 Vol.

Mar 31, 2025

Yes

100% chance 54%

Source: Polymarket.com

Order Book

Rules

Additional context

Updated Mar 18

The IDF has officially announced it is conducting extensive strikes on Hamas throughout the Gaza Strip (https://x.com/IDF/status/1901802698237935705). This qualifies to resolve this market to “Yes”.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a either Israel or Hamas announce the cancelation of the ongoing ceasefire, or if a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the ceasefire is no longer in effect, by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

$1,086,070

End Date

Mar 31, 2025

Outcome proposed: Yes

Dispute window

50m 53s

Final

Comments (424)
Top Holders
Activity
Related

Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.

vehicle

vehicle

15m ago

Those IDF whales who bought Yes are eating good tonight

Euan

Euan

40m ago

what a useless clarification lol

username3

username3

39m ago

@Euan

There’s so much controversy with Middle East Markets that Polymarket is getting ahead of the drama haha

username3

username3

41m ago

W Polymarket adding a clarification

Euan

Euan

42m ago

tf

digital

digital

44m ago

denizz

41m ago

Verrissimus

Verrissimus

45m ago

let me farm reward Euan

aenews2

aenews2

50m ago

ggs, I proposed if anyone wants to dispute. But it's clearly over.

aenews2

aenews2

31m ago

@digital

How'd you know? Were you tipped off by 99c shares?

digital

digital

28m ago

@aenews2

How come you were so sure about that market that was a long shot...are u in the idf ?

HolyMoses7

HolyMoses7

55m ago

Official announcement by minister of defense.

username3

username3

57m ago

"Ceasefire over as Israel strikes Gaza after Hamas refused to release hostages, officials say" https://www.foxnews.com/world/ceasefire-over-israel-strikes-gaza-after-hamas-refused-release-hostages-officials-say

Kickstand8

NO holders falling for the Iranian-run Kickstand psy-op once again. The Ayatollah thanks you for your contributions to the Islamic republic.

Kickstand8

Palestinian report: Sounds of movement of ‘occupation’ tanks in eastern Gaza- this is not the border.

denizz

1h ago

Can be proposed imo

GeorgiySelvestrov

SHALOM HAMAS

dogeater

2h ago

where all no bettors?

denizz

2h ago

Wow

HolyMoses7

HolyMoses7

2h ago

@denizz

lucky you sold your No yesterday :)

justbizz

justbizz

2h ago

@denizz

You shoulda listened to me earlier bro

justbizz

justbizz

2h ago

Hey polymarket can I have my money now thx

Car

Car

2h ago

Hi

@Car

Car, could you make me a birthday present? It's tomorrow

justbizz

justbizz

2h ago

check the comments bros I been shilling this, on to the next🫡

Kickstand8

Israel resumes military operations against Hamas in Gaza after the group rejected U.S. proposals for extending ceasefire, Israeli Prime Minister's office says

cashy

2h ago

gg

Kickstand8

Joever

HolyMoses7

HolyMoses7

2h ago

its over

cashy

2h ago

Big airstrike campaign in the strip

Kickstand8

For the first time since the ceasefire: our planes launch a broad wave of attacks against terrorist infrastructure and terrorists in the Gaza Strip.

Kickstand8

https://x.com/ariel_oseran/status/1901789388347961567?s=46 BREAKING: Palestinians reporting Israeli airstrikes “all across the Gaza Strip.”

Kickstand8

Explosions in the northwestern areas of the Gaza Strip, in parallel with intensive flights of reconnaissance aircraft and warplanes.

digital

digital

4h ago

@TheJonBonJov... you are new to polymarket they just finish a 15 months war you really think they will attack within next 2 weeks ?

TheJonBonJovi

https://www.ynetnews.com/article/s1moaovhjg

justbizz

justbizz

5h ago

What is happening with invasion?

bpratt012

5h ago

oy vey oy vey watcha gonna do watcha gonna do when Bibi comes for you

Kickstand8

All branches of the Israeli army were put on alert. A surprise meeting between the Chief of Staff of the Israeli Army and Netanyahu.

cashy

2h ago

GeorgiySelvestrov

SHALOM HAMAS 🤭🤭

bpratt012

5h ago

@GeorgiySelve...

oy vey these amaleks

Kickstand8

Denizz flipped :)

justbizz

justbizz

6h ago

justbizz

justbizz

6h ago

@Kickstand8

Biggest no shill haha

Kickstand8

Israel’s Military censorship has allowed publication that Israel had identified an unusual event in the Gaza Strip that indicates Hamas is organizing for another attack on Israel.

michelleoboma

michelleoboma

1d ago

ye im out of this market but I think anything can happen.gl

justbizz

justbizz

1d ago

@michelleobom...

Good we dont want your flip floppin ass

Amount

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