Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.
Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled before April?
$1,088,284 Vol.
Mar 31, 2025
Yes
100% chance 54%
Source: Polymarket.com
Rules
Additional context
Updated Mar 18
The IDF has officially announced it is conducting extensive strikes on Hamas throughout the Gaza Strip (https://x.com/IDF/status/1901802698237935705). This qualifies to resolve this market to “Yes”.
The primary solution resolution source will be official information from Hamas or the government of Israel however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,088,284
End Date
Mar 31, 2025
Resolver
0x6A9D222616...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Beware of external links, they may be phishing attacks.
avivei
14m ago
avivei
17m ago

vehicle
2h ago

username3
3h ago

Euan
3h ago

digital
3h ago

Verrissimus
3h ago

aenews2
3h ago

HolyMoses7
3h ago

username3
3h ago

Kickstand8
3h ago

Kickstand8
3h ago
denizz
3h ago

GeorgiySelvestro...
4h ago
dogeater
4h ago

justbizz
4h ago

justbizz
4h ago

Kickstand8
4h ago
cashy
4h ago

Kickstand8
4h ago

HolyMoses7
4h ago
cashy
4h ago

Kickstand8
4h ago

Kickstand8
4h ago

Kickstand8
4h ago

digital
6h ago

digital
6h ago

TheJonBonJovi
6h ago

justbizz
7h ago
bpratt012
7h ago

Kickstand8
8h ago
cashy
4h ago


Kickstand8
8h ago
Outcome: Yes