Name: How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?
Start: 2024-11-21T20:35:03.254563Z
End: 2024-11-21T12:00:00Z

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This is a market on predicting the sale prices of individual pieces at Christie's Evening Auction.

This market refers to Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale scheduled for November 21, 2024 (see: https://www.christies.com/en/auction/21st-century-evening-sale-30527/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cecily Brown's "The Butcher and the Policeman" (Lot 6 B) sells for $5,000,000 or more dollars. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price as based on the livestream of the event (see: https://www.youtube.com/live/rRrHD-Kc_I8). If the stream becomes unavailable, the market will resolve based on official information from Christie's.

Lot 6B Brown -  $5m+

This market refers to Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale scheduled for November 21, 2024 (see: https://www.christies.com/en/auction/21st-century-evening-sale-30527/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jean-Michel Basquiat's "Untitled" (Lot 8 B) sells for $25,000,000 or more dollars. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price as based on the livestream of the event (see: https://www.youtube.com/live/rRrHD-Kc_I8). If the stream becomes unavailable, the market will resolve based on official information from Christie's.

Lot 8B Basquiat - $25m+

This market refers to Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale scheduled for November 21, 2024 (see: https://www.christies.com/en/auction/21st-century-evening-sale-30527/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeff Koons's "Large Vase of Flowers" (Lot 11 B) sells for $7,000,000 or more dollars. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price as based on the livestream of the event (see: https://www.youtube.com/live/rRrHD-Kc_I8). If the stream becomes unavailable, the market will resolve based on official information from Christie's.

Lot 11B Koons - $7m+

This market refers to Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale scheduled for November 21, 2024 (see: https://www.christies.com/en/auction/21st-century-evening-sale-30527/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yayoi Kusama's "Pumpkin" (Lot 16 B) sells for $7,000,000 or more dollars. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price as based on the livestream of the event (see: https://www.youtube.com/live/rRrHD-Kc_I8). If the stream becomes unavailable, the market will resolve based on official information from Christie's.

Lot 16B Kusama - $7m+

This market refers to Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale scheduled for November 21, 2024 (see: https://www.christies.com/en/auction/21st-century-evening-sale-30527/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Hockney's "Four Empty Vases" (Lot 18 B) sells for $5,000,000 or more dollars. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the artwork is not sold during Christie's 21st Century Evening Sale this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the hammer price as based on the livestream of the event (see: https://www.youtube.com/live/rRrHD-Kc_I8). If the stream becomes unavailable, the market will resolve based on official information from Christie's.

Lot 18B Hockney - $5m+

How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the CryptoPunks floor price reaches 70 ETH or higher at any point between July 31, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be NftPriceFloor, specifically the "CryptoPunks price chart" available at https://nftpricefloor.com/cryptopunks, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when hovering over the chart.

Only data from NFTPriceFloor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.

Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 70 ETH in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the jewels stolen from the Louvre’s Galerie d’Apollon are officially recovered by the listed date ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

A single item (e.g., one earring) will suffice regardless of if it is missing a diamond or other element; however, recovery of only a fragment or part of an item (for example, a loose stone or a piece of a crown) will not suffice

The primary resolution source will be official statements from the Louvre or the French government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if the Pudgy Penguins floor price reaches 30 ETH or higher by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be NFT Price Floor, specifically the Pudgy Penguins price chart available at https://nftpricefloor.com/pudgy-penguins, with "1M" selected on the top bar. The price will be determined based on the value shown when mousing over the chart.

Only data from NFT Price Floor will be used to resolve this market. Prices from other data providers or NFT marketplaces will not be considered.

Will Pudgy Penguins floor price hit 30 ETH in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the index that performs best for the week beginning December 15, among the Warren Buffett Index, the Bill Ackman Index, and the S&P 500.

The performance of each index will be determined by the 1-week trailing percentage return of each index for the final trading day of the specified week. The index with the best percentage return will be deemed the winner.

The resolution source for the Warren Buffett Index ("Buffett") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559450392165007360

Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period.

The resolution source for the Bill Ackman Index ("Ackman") is: https://web.dubapp.com/portfolios/index/559452008356167680

Information from the "Performance" table, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return figure found under "1W", will be used to resolve this market, once information is finalized for the final day of the specified trading period.

The resolution source for S&P 500 ("SPX") is: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices

Information from the "Historical Prices" table will be used to resolve this market, specifically the 1-week trailing percentage return calculated as the percentage change between the closing price for the final trading day of the specified week and the closing price for the corresponding day of the previous week (e.g. if the final trading day of the specified week is a Thursday, the closing price of the previous Thursday will be used to calculate the 1-week trailing percentage return).

Note that all relevant figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.

If multiple indices perform exactly the same over this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve according to the Index whose abbreviation comes first, as listed in this market group. 

If the specified indices do not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve to “Other”.

If either of the relevant trading days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published for each relevant index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If any of the relevant days lack a specified price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), this market will use the last valid historical price offered by the specified resolution sources as the effective closing price for that day.

Updates to historical prices displayed by any of the indices subsequent to this market's resolution will not be considered. This market will resolve according to the methodologies utilized by the specified indices as of the resolution time of this market, regardless of whether those methodologies are later updated.

How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?

Lot 6B Brown - $5m+
$9,113 Vol.
No

Lot 8B Basquiat - $25m+
$5,829 Vol.
No

Lot 11B Koons - $7m+
$1,619 Vol.
No

Lot 16B Kusama - $7m+
$975 Vol.
No

Lot 18B Hockney - $5m+
$1,299 Vol.
Yes

Market Context

How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?

Rules

How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?

Market Context

How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?

About

Related

How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?

Lot 6B Brown - $5m+$9,113 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lot 8B Basquiat - $25m+$5,829 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lot 11B Koons - $7m+$1,619 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lot 16B Kusama - $7m+$975 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lot 18B Hockney - $5m+$1,299 Vol.Yescircle check

Market Context

How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?

Rules

How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?

Market Context

How much will each piece sell for at Christie's Evening Auction?

About

Related

Lot 6B Brown - $5m+
$9,113 Vol.
No

Lot 8B Basquiat - $25m+
$5,829 Vol.
No

Lot 11B Koons - $7m+
$1,619 Vol.
No

Lot 16B Kusama - $7m+
$975 Vol.
No

Lot 18B Hockney - $5m+
$1,299 Vol.
Yes