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How long will Trump and Slovakia PM shake hands for when they meet?

2–6s 42%

6–10s 47%

10–15s 24%

15s+ 23%

$45 Vol

Rules

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Prime Minister of the Slovak Republic Robert Fico between market creation and January 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any handshake recorded between market creation and that date (ET) will qualify.

If no handshake occurs during the date of their next meeting, or if no meeting takes place by January 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.

If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".

Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.

If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.

The resolution source will be video footage.
Volume
$45
End Date
Jan 17, 2026
Created At
Jan 16, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
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Market icon

How long will Trump and Slovakia PM shake hands for when they meet?

2–6s 42%

6–10s 47%

10–15s 24%

15s+ 23%

$45 Vol

No Handshake

$4 Vol.

7%

<2s

$26 Vol.

11%

2–6s

$5 Vol.

42%

6–10s

$8 Vol.

47%

10–15s

$0 Vol.

24%

15s+

$1 Vol.

23%

Photographed Only

$1 Vol.

21%

About

Volume
$45
End Date
Jan 17, 2026
Created At
Jan 16, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
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Beware of external links.