Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature in Wuhan on April 9, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observations and updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those on Weather.com and TimeandDate.com. Persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and scattered thunderstorms have suppressed daytime heating, with surface measurements at key stations like Wuhan Tianhe International Airport peaking near 21°C (around 70–71°F) amid high humidity over 90% and limited solar insolation. Afternoon hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing at 20–22°C without further rises. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of overcast skies in the late afternoon, enabling brief solar warming to 22°C or higher before sunset, though ensemble model consensus deems this unlikely given steering winds and frontal activity. Final official readings expected by midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 9?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 9?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$72,989 Vol.
$72,989 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$72,989 Vol.
$72,989 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 21°C as the highest temperature in Wuhan on April 9, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by real-time observations and updated forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models like those on Weather.com and TimeandDate.com. Persistent cloud cover, moderate rain, and scattered thunderstorms have suppressed daytime heating, with surface measurements at key stations like Wuhan Tianhe International Airport peaking near 21°C (around 70–71°F) amid high humidity over 90% and limited solar insolation. Afternoon hourly data shows temperatures stabilizing at 20–22°C without further rises. Realistic challenges include an unexpected clearing of overcast skies in the late afternoon, enabling brief solar warming to 22°C or higher before sunset, though ensemble model consensus deems this unlikely given steering winds and frontal activity. Final official readings expected by midnight local time.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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