Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration and METAR reports at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 8 reached 23°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover and showers from a strengthening rain system that capped solar heating. Ensemble forecast models had converged on 21–23°C highs over the past 24 hours, aligning with historical April norms where cloudy conditions in Wuhan typically limit peaks below 25°C. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst if clouds fully dissipate, but ongoing precipitation and evening cooling make exceeding 24°C highly unlikely as final data releases from CMA affirm the reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 8?
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,864 Vol.
$157,864 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$157,864 Vol.
$157,864 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration and METAR reports at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 8 reached 23°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome amid persistent cloud cover and showers from a strengthening rain system that capped solar heating. Ensemble forecast models had converged on 21–23°C highs over the past 24 hours, aligning with historical April norms where cloudy conditions in Wuhan typically limit peaks below 25°C. Realistic challenges would require an improbable late-afternoon heat burst if clouds fully dissipate, but ongoing precipitation and evening cooling make exceeding 24°C highly unlikely as final data releases from CMA affirm the reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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