Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 21°C or below at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 15, driven by official METAR observations showing midday peaks around 20-21°C under persistent cloud cover, mist, and light rain. China Meteorological Administration reports confirm subdued warming from a cool northerly flow and high moisture, with global models like ECMWF and GFS aligning on highs below 22°C—consistent with Wuhan's April climatological average of about 21-22°C but cooler today due to frontal influences. Final daily maximum from the airport station, typically reported post-midnight, underpins this near-certainty, though improbable clearing skies and late-afternoon solar heating could challenge it before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 15?
21°C or below 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$105,464 Vol.
$105,464 Vol.
21°C or below
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
21°C or below 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$105,464 Vol.
$105,464 Vol.
21°C or below
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 21°C or below at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 15, driven by official METAR observations showing midday peaks around 20-21°C under persistent cloud cover, mist, and light rain. China Meteorological Administration reports confirm subdued warming from a cool northerly flow and high moisture, with global models like ECMWF and GFS aligning on highs below 22°C—consistent with Wuhan's April climatological average of about 21-22°C but cooler today due to frontal influences. Final daily maximum from the airport station, typically reported post-midnight, underpins this near-certainty, though improbable clearing skies and late-afternoon solar heating could challenge it before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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