Official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG)—the market's authoritative NOAA resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C in Tel Aviv on April 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports and station data showed afternoon peaks around 20-21°C amid mild southwest winds (10-15 mph), partial cloud cover, and seasonal humidity near 60%, cooler than April climatological averages of 23-24°C highs. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from NOAA and Israel Meteorological Service predicting subdued warming under stable high-pressure influence. Final data ratification is routine, but rare scenarios like post hoc measurement revisions or equipment anomalies could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents indicate near-zero risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 8?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 8?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$61,939 Vol.
$61,939 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$61,939 Vol.
$61,939 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Ben Gurion International Airport (LLBG)—the market's authoritative NOAA resolution source—confirm a maximum temperature of 21°C in Tel Aviv on April 8, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for this outcome. Hourly METAR reports and station data showed afternoon peaks around 20-21°C amid mild southwest winds (10-15 mph), partial cloud cover, and seasonal humidity near 60%, cooler than April climatological averages of 23-24°C highs. This aligns with recent forecast model consensus from NOAA and Israel Meteorological Service predicting subdued warming under stable high-pressure influence. Final data ratification is routine, but rare scenarios like post hoc measurement revisions or equipment anomalies could theoretically shift resolution, though historical precedents indicate near-zero risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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