Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C in Taipei on April 9, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport station, where morning readings hit 27°C under high solar insolation from a dominant stable high-pressure system. Southerly to southwesterly winds have advected warm air masses northward, fostering clear skies and peak daytime heating aligned with recent model consensus for highs of 31–32°C amid no tropical disruptions. This exceeds April climatological averages of 26°C due to the favorable synoptic pattern following a recent temperature rebound. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or isolated thunderstorms, though current stability and late-day observations make shifts to 33°C or higher improbable; final CWA hourly data will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 9?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 9?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$87,203 Vol.
$87,203 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$87,203 Vol.
$87,203 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 32°C in Taipei on April 9, backed by Central Weather Administration (CWA) observations at the Taipei Songshan Airport station, where morning readings hit 27°C under high solar insolation from a dominant stable high-pressure system. Southerly to southwesterly winds have advected warm air masses northward, fostering clear skies and peak daytime heating aligned with recent model consensus for highs of 31–32°C amid no tropical disruptions. This exceeds April climatological averages of 26°C due to the favorable synoptic pattern following a recent temperature rebound. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud buildup or isolated thunderstorms, though current stability and late-day observations make shifts to 33°C or higher improbable; final CWA hourly data will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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