The Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature reaching 33°C today under mostly clear skies and stable atmospheric conditions, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in market-implied odds. Current observations show morning temperatures around 24°C at official stations, with daytime heating expected amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning with recent model runs and historical April patterns where highs often peak near this level. This positioning reflects high-confidence short-range guidance from CWA, backed by real-time satellite and radar data. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity or urban heat variations pushing readings higher, or prolonged cloudiness capping below 33°C—though probability remains low given the benign synoptic setup—with final resolution hinging on end-of-day station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$183,779 Vol.
$183,779 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$183,779 Vol.
$183,779 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature reaching 33°C today under mostly clear skies and stable atmospheric conditions, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on this outcome as reflected in market-implied odds. Current observations show morning temperatures around 24°C at official stations, with daytime heating expected amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover, aligning with recent model runs and historical April patterns where highs often peak near this level. This positioning reflects high-confidence short-range guidance from CWA, backed by real-time satellite and radar data. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective activity or urban heat variations pushing readings higher, or prolonged cloudiness capping below 33°C—though probability remains low given the benign synoptic setup—with final resolution hinging on end-of-day station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions