Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, with a 100% implied probability reflecting official observational data from the Central Weather Bureau (CWB). Midday readings at key stations like Taipei and Songshan Airport peaked at 33°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and clear skies, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating—conditions consistent with recent days' progression from 32°C yesterday. Diurnal cooling has since set in with sunset approaching, aligning with CWB hourly forecasts showing no potential for further intensification. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst from downslope winds, are improbable given current wind patterns and historical April precedents where daily maxima rarely exceed midday peaks; final CWB daily summary expected by evening will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on April 10?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 10?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$117,346 Vol.
$117,346 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$117,346 Vol.
$117,346 Vol.
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:39 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 33°C as Taipei's highest temperature today, with a 100% implied probability reflecting official observational data from the Central Weather Bureau (CWB). Midday readings at key stations like Taipei and Songshan Airport peaked at 33°C under persistent high-pressure ridging and clear skies, which suppressed cloud cover and maximized solar heating—conditions consistent with recent days' progression from 32°C yesterday. Diurnal cooling has since set in with sunset approaching, aligning with CWB hourly forecasts showing no potential for further intensification. Realistic challenges, such as a rare late-afternoon heat burst from downslope winds, are improbable given current wind patterns and historical April precedents where daily maxima rarely exceed midday peaks; final CWB daily summary expected by evening will confirm resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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