Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 30°C in Singapore on April 9, 2026, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from key stations like Changi, where early afternoon peaks hit exactly 30°C before thundery showers suppressed further warming. Inter-monsoon conditions in the first fortnight of April, as outlined in NEA's recent advisory, have delivered wetter-than-normal weather with frequent rain, capping daily maxima below the typical 31–33°C April climatology despite light winds and high humidity. Historical precedents show such shower patterns reliably limit heat buildup near the equator. Final NEA records, updated by the 10th, could confirm resolution, though a late-day heat burst or data revision remains a remote possibility absent clearing skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on April 9?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 9?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$131,980 Vol.
$131,980 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$131,980 Vol.
$131,980 Vol.
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 30°C in Singapore on April 9, 2026, driven by National Environment Agency (NEA) observational data from key stations like Changi, where early afternoon peaks hit exactly 30°C before thundery showers suppressed further warming. Inter-monsoon conditions in the first fortnight of April, as outlined in NEA's recent advisory, have delivered wetter-than-normal weather with frequent rain, capping daily maxima below the typical 31–33°C April climatology despite light winds and high humidity. Historical precedents show such shower patterns reliably limit heat buildup near the equator. Final NEA records, updated by the 10th, could confirm resolution, though a late-day heat burst or data revision remains a remote possibility absent clearing skies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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