Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station—the primary reference for such records—confirm a high temperature of 18°C on April 7, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Calibrated sensors under standardized protocols captured this peak amid mild spring conditions, with high-pressure ridging over Central Europe suppressing warmer air advection, consistent with pre-event model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting 17–19°C maxima. Recent hourly data releases matched preliminary reports, leaving negligible room for adjustment. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data corrections from DWD audits or station discrepancies, but historical precedents show near-100% stability post-observation in urban meteorological networks. Watch for final daily summary on April 8.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Munich on April 7?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 7?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$94,356 Vol.
$94,356 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$94,356 Vol.
$94,356 Vol.
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official observations from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) at Munich Airport station—the primary reference for such records—confirm a high temperature of 18°C on April 7, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for that outcome. Calibrated sensors under standardized protocols captured this peak amid mild spring conditions, with high-pressure ridging over Central Europe suppressing warmer air advection, consistent with pre-event model ensembles from ECMWF and GFS projecting 17–19°C maxima. Recent hourly data releases matched preliminary reports, leaving negligible room for adjustment. Scenarios challenging this would involve rare data corrections from DWD audits or station discrepancies, but historical precedents show near-100% stability post-observation in urban meteorological networks. Watch for final daily summary on April 8.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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