Official observations from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Rosgidromet) at 21:00 local time on April 17 confirm Moscow's daily maximum temperature of 12.9°C at central stations, aligning with NOAA-recorded highs at Vnukovo International Airport and locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 12°C outcome. Cloudy conditions and intermittent showers curtailed solar insolation, capping heating below earlier forecasts of up to 15°C from ECMWF and GFS models, following a warmer spell with 15.3°C on April 15. This reflects typical mid-April climatology, where averages hover around 10–12°C. With the day concluded, only rare data revisions from NOAA archives could challenge this positioning, though such adjustments seldom exceed 0.5°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$62,714 Vol.
$62,714 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$62,714 Vol.
$62,714 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Rosgidromet) at 21:00 local time on April 17 confirm Moscow's daily maximum temperature of 12.9°C at central stations, aligning with NOAA-recorded highs at Vnukovo International Airport and locking in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 12°C outcome. Cloudy conditions and intermittent showers curtailed solar insolation, capping heating below earlier forecasts of up to 15°C from ECMWF and GFS models, following a warmer spell with 15.3°C on April 15. This reflects typical mid-April climatology, where averages hover around 10–12°C. With the day concluded, only rare data revisions from NOAA archives could challenge this positioning, though such adjustments seldom exceed 0.5°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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