Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 24°C high in Milan on April 16, backed by verified observational data from official stations like Milano Linate Airport, where maximum surface temperatures peaked mid-afternoon under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This outcome aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, projecting 23–24°C amid a mild anticyclonic ridge boosting diurnal heating above the April climatological average of 18–19°C. No precipitation or cloud interference materialized, solidifying the reading. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from ARPA Lombardia due to instrument anomalies, but finalized reports indicate negligible risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on April 16?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 16?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$91,732 Vol.
$91,732 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$91,732 Vol.
$91,732 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 14, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 24°C high in Milan on April 16, backed by verified observational data from official stations like Milano Linate Airport, where maximum surface temperatures peaked mid-afternoon under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds. This outcome aligns with pre-event forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS, projecting 23–24°C amid a mild anticyclonic ridge boosting diurnal heating above the April climatological average of 18–19°C. No precipitation or cloud interference materialized, solidifying the reading. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from ARPA Lombardia due to instrument anomalies, but finalized reports indicate negligible risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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