India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 18?
41°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
40°C <1%
42°C <1%
$53,511 Vol.
$53,511 Vol.
39°C or below
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
40°C <1%
42°C <1%
$53,511 Vol.
$53,511 Vol.
39°C or below
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 41.0°C on April 18, 2026—2.5°C above normal—under persistent clear skies and dry conditions, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 41°C outcome. This aligns with recent IMD block-level forecasts pinpointing 41.7°C nearby and escalating heatwave risks across eastern Uttar Pradesh, where isolated spots exceeded 45°C earlier in the week. Official station data from Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport and city networks underpin this positioning, reflecting skin-in-the-game agreement on finalized measurements. Realistic challenges would require a rare post-bulletin revision from higher automated weather stations or unverified outlier readings, though model consensus and diurnal heating patterns make shifts above 42°C improbable at this stage. IMD's next bulletin may provide final validation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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