The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) latest bulletin for Lucknow confirms a maximum temperature of 36.6°C observed on April 12, with forecasts pinning the daily high around 36°C amid dry conditions and strong surface winds of 25-40 km/h suppressing further warming. This aligns with model consensus from IMD's regional guidance, reflecting below-normal temperatures (-1.6°C departure from April norms of ~38°C) due to lingering effects of recent western disturbances and hazy skies limiting solar insolation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 36°C reflects this observational lock-in late in the day. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies into evening allowing minor convective heating or station-specific urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C, though official airport measurements at Chaudhary Charan Singh International will resolve the market. IMD's evening update may provide final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
36°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
$68,072 Vol.
$68,072 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
34°C or below <1%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
$68,072 Vol.
$68,072 Vol.
34°C or below
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) latest bulletin for Lucknow confirms a maximum temperature of 36.6°C observed on April 12, with forecasts pinning the daily high around 36°C amid dry conditions and strong surface winds of 25-40 km/h suppressing further warming. This aligns with model consensus from IMD's regional guidance, reflecting below-normal temperatures (-1.6°C departure from April norms of ~38°C) due to lingering effects of recent western disturbances and hazy skies limiting solar insolation. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 36°C reflects this observational lock-in late in the day. Realistic challenges include prolonged clear skies into evening allowing minor convective heating or station-specific urban heat effects pushing readings to 37°C, though official airport measurements at Chaudhary Charan Singh International will resolve the market. IMD's evening update may provide final confirmation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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