Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport meteorological station in Lagos, aggregated via Weather Underground—the designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 35.3°C on April 13, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for the 35°C outcome. This peak aligns with a recent pattern of elevated daytime highs, including 35.5°C on April 10 and 35.0°C on April 12, amid a +1.3°C departure from April climatological norms driven by persistent sunny conditions and low precipitation (0 mm that day). Such direct thermometer readings from calibrated WMO-standard stations carry high reliability, with realistic challenges limited to rare post-finalization data audits for sensor errors, though none are indicated. Traders should monitor for any final Wunderground updates at DNMM history page.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 13?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 13?
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$28,841 Vol.
$28,841 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$28,841 Vol.
$28,841 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 11, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport meteorological station in Lagos, aggregated via Weather Underground—the designated resolution source—recorded a maximum temperature of 35.3°C on April 13, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for the 35°C outcome. This peak aligns with a recent pattern of elevated daytime highs, including 35.5°C on April 10 and 35.0°C on April 12, amid a +1.3°C departure from April climatological norms driven by persistent sunny conditions and low precipitation (0 mm that day). Such direct thermometer readings from calibrated WMO-standard stations carry high reliability, with realistic challenges limited to rare post-finalization data audits for sensor errors, though none are indicated. Traders should monitor for any final Wunderground updates at DNMM history page.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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