Official observations from Jeddah's King Abdulaziz International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 41°C reached mid-afternoon on April 17, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on that outcome, as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with high-pressure systems and clear skies fostering intense solar heating over the Red Sea coastal region, where April climatology typically sees highs around 32–35°C but allows outliers up to 40°C+ under subsidence conditions. Current evening readings show cooling below 35°C with sunset past, minimizing further escalation risks. Realistic challenges would require a post-sunset data revision or unverified outlier measurement, though standard meteorological protocols make this improbable; final National Center for Meteorology validation expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
41°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$51,015 Vol.
$51,015 Vol.
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
41°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$51,015 Vol.
$51,015 Vol.
33°C or below
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
Yes
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Jeddah's King Abdulaziz International Airport weather station—the market's resolution source—confirm a peak temperature of 41°C reached mid-afternoon on April 17, driving trader consensus to near-certainty on that outcome, as reflected in the 100% implied probability. This aligns with high-pressure systems and clear skies fostering intense solar heating over the Red Sea coastal region, where April climatology typically sees highs around 32–35°C but allows outliers up to 40°C+ under subsidence conditions. Current evening readings show cooling below 35°C with sunset past, minimizing further escalation risks. Realistic challenges would require a post-sunset data revision or unverified outlier measurement, though standard meteorological protocols make this improbable; final National Center for Meteorology validation expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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