Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C on April 9, driven by real-time observational data from BMKG stations—such as Halim and Soekarno-Hatta—peaking at 31°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered light rain. These conditions, aligning with BMKG's hourly forecasts of daytime highs near 30°C and humidity above 70%, capped solar heating despite April's climatological average of 32°C. No station has exceeded 31°C as evening sets in, solidifying the positioning. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day clearing boosting radiational heating before midnight resolution, though model consensus and current stability make this improbable. Final BMKG daily report expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 9?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 9?
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,087 Vol.
$54,087 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,087 Vol.
$54,087 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Jakarta's highest temperature reaching exactly 31°C on April 9, driven by real-time observational data from BMKG stations—such as Halim and Soekarno-Hatta—peaking at 31°C under partly cloudy skies and scattered light rain. These conditions, aligning with BMKG's hourly forecasts of daytime highs near 30°C and humidity above 70%, capped solar heating despite April's climatological average of 32°C. No station has exceeded 31°C as evening sets in, solidifying the positioning. Realistic challenges include a rare late-day clearing boosting radiational heating before midnight resolution, though model consensus and current stability make this improbable. Final BMKG daily report expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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