Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature on April 9 reached exactly 13°C, measured at standard 2-meter height amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation across the Marmara region, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service reports of daytime highs between 10–15°C. Cool northerly winds and high humidity suppressed warming, keeping conditions below seasonal norms for early spring, where historical April averages hover around 15–16°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor recalibrations or discrepancies in final quality-controlled records from monitoring agencies. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 9?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 9?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$97,668 Vol.
$97,668 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$97,668 Vol.
$97,668 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 5, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official NOAA observations from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) confirm the highest temperature on April 9 reached exactly 13°C, measured at standard 2-meter height amid persistent cloud cover and light precipitation across the Marmara region, aligning with Turkish State Meteorological Service reports of daytime highs between 10–15°C. Cool northerly winds and high humidity suppressed warming, keeping conditions below seasonal norms for early spring, where historical April averages hover around 15–16°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified data, with negligible risk of revision barring rare sensor recalibrations or discrepancies in final quality-controlled records from monitoring agencies. No further updates expected as the event has passed.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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