Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 66-67°F on April 5, driven by finalized observational data from Weather Underground at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak amid persistent cloud cover and north-northeasterly winds of 10-15 mph. National Weather Service reports detail advection of cooler continental air following a recent frontal passage, with scattered lingering showers suppressing daytime heating—well below the April climatological average high near 78°F at nearby stations. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately anticipated limited solar insolation and cool mid-level temperatures aloft. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies with alternate stations like KIAH, though such shifts are improbable once finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$66,077 Vol.
$66,077 Vol.
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$66,077 Vol.
$66,077 Vol.
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 66-67°F on April 5, driven by finalized observational data from Weather Underground at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming the peak amid persistent cloud cover and north-northeasterly winds of 10-15 mph. National Weather Service reports detail advection of cooler continental air following a recent frontal passage, with scattered lingering showers suppressing daytime heating—well below the April climatological average high near 78°F at nearby stations. Model forecasts from NOAA accurately anticipated limited solar insolation and cool mid-level temperatures aloft. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits or discrepancies with alternate stations like KIAH, though such shifts are improbable once finalized.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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