National Weather Service forecasts for Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, project a high temperature near 84°F today amid mostly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 5-10 mph, and a 60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms from an approaching cold front. Morning observations at KHOU reached 71°F by 8 a.m., with midday readings climbing into the upper 70s to low 80s°F under partial solar heating, aligning with model consensus from recent NOAA runs that favor sufficient warm air advection before precipitation ramps up. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this data-driven confidence, backed by real capital, though realistic challenges include earlier-than-expected heavy thunderstorms enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling to cap peaks at 82-83°F. Hourly ASOS updates through evening will finalize the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 18?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 18?
84°F or higher 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$90,653 Vol.
$90,653 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
Yes
84°F or higher 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$90,653 Vol.
$90,653 Vol.
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:36 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecasts for Houston Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, project a high temperature near 84°F today amid mostly cloudy skies, southwest winds of 5-10 mph, and a 60% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms from an approaching cold front. Morning observations at KHOU reached 71°F by 8 a.m., with midday readings climbing into the upper 70s to low 80s°F under partial solar heating, aligning with model consensus from recent NOAA runs that favor sufficient warm air advection before precipitation ramps up. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this data-driven confidence, backed by real capital, though realistic challenges include earlier-than-expected heavy thunderstorms enhancing cloud cover and evaporative cooling to cap peaks at 82-83°F. Hourly ASOS updates through evening will finalize the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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