National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 77-81°F at Houston Intercontinental Airport today, April 10, anchoring trader sentiment at near-certainty (100% implied probability) for 74°F or higher. Morning observations already show temperatures climbing into the low 70s under partly cloudy skies, with southeast winds at 10-15 mph promoting daytime heating amid high pressure dominance and low shower risk. April climatology supports this, with normal highs near 79°F and recent days averaging upper 70s. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective outbreaks or persistent overcast conditions capping peaks at 72-73°F, though current radar and satellite data indicate minimal threats; official station readings will finalize resolution by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on April 10?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 10?
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$34,544 Vol.
$34,544 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
74°F or higher 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$34,544 Vol.
$34,544 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF project a high temperature of 77-81°F at Houston Intercontinental Airport today, April 10, anchoring trader sentiment at near-certainty (100% implied probability) for 74°F or higher. Morning observations already show temperatures climbing into the low 70s under partly cloudy skies, with southeast winds at 10-15 mph promoting daytime heating amid high pressure dominance and low shower risk. April climatology supports this, with normal highs near 79°F and recent days averaging upper 70s. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective outbreaks or persistent overcast conditions capping peaks at 72-73°F, though current radar and satellite data indicate minimal threats; official station readings will finalize resolution by evening.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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