Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C in Helsinki on April 18, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at key stations like Helsinki-Vantaa Airport and Kaisaniemi, where afternoon readings peaked near 9-10°C under persistent northerly winds (3-5 m/s, gusts to 9 m/s) and partly cloudy skies that capped solar heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 9-12°C, corroborated by ECMWF and national model ensembles forecasting subdued warming amid a cool upper-air pattern. Realistic challenges—such as unverified microclimatic spikes or data revisions—are improbable post-sunset, with official daily maximums expected to confirm resolution shortly via FMI archives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 18?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 18?
12°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$60,933 Vol.
$60,933 Vol.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$60,933 Vol.
$60,933 Vol.
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 12°C in Helsinki on April 18, driven by Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) observations at key stations like Helsinki-Vantaa Airport and Kaisaniemi, where afternoon readings peaked near 9-10°C under persistent northerly winds (3-5 m/s, gusts to 9 m/s) and partly cloudy skies that capped solar heating. Mid-April climatology supports highs of 9-12°C, corroborated by ECMWF and national model ensembles forecasting subdued warming amid a cool upper-air pattern. Realistic challenges—such as unverified microclimatic spikes or data revisions—are improbable post-sunset, with official daily maximums expected to confirm resolution shortly via FMI archives.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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