Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the highest temperature in Denver on April 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary National Weather Service observations from the official KDEN station at Denver International Airport, where hourly ASOS measurements peaked near 68°F amid partly cloudy skies and light winds under a weak upper-level trough. This aligns closely with NOAA forecast model consensus projecting highs around 67°F, slightly below the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F, influenced by lingering cool air masses following recent frontal passages. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare post hoc data revisions in the final NWS Climatological Report—such as sensor recalibrations or quality-controlled adjustments—but these are uncommon for established automated surface observing systems, with the official summary expected within 24-48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on April 15?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 15?
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$184,197 Vol.
$184,197 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$184,197 Vol.
$184,197 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F as the highest temperature in Denver on April 15 at 100% implied probability, driven by preliminary National Weather Service observations from the official KDEN station at Denver International Airport, where hourly ASOS measurements peaked near 68°F amid partly cloudy skies and light winds under a weak upper-level trough. This aligns closely with NOAA forecast model consensus projecting highs around 67°F, slightly below the mid-April climatological normal of 61°F, influenced by lingering cool air masses following recent frontal passages. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare post hoc data revisions in the final NWS Climatological Report—such as sensor recalibrations or quality-controlled adjustments—but these are uncommon for established automated surface observing systems, with the official summary expected within 24-48 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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