Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F as the highest temperature at Dallas Love Field (KDAL) on April 18, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements from the National Weather Service confirming a peak in this range amid partly cloudy conditions and lighter-than-forecast frontal influences. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private sources like Weather Underground anticipated a stronger cold front limiting highs to the mid-60s, but upper-air patterns and delayed boundary passage allowed midday warming to near climatological norms (April average ~77°F at KDAL). Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—or disputes over the exact resolving station's timestamped maximum, though NWS daily climate summaries typically solidify such observations within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 18?
74-75°F 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$230,225 Vol.
$230,225 Vol.
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 100.0%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$230,225 Vol.
$230,225 Vol.
74-75°F
100%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 74-75°F as the highest temperature at Dallas Love Field (KDAL) on April 18, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by official Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) measurements from the National Weather Service confirming a peak in this range amid partly cloudy conditions and lighter-than-forecast frontal influences. Pre-event model guidance from NOAA and private sources like Weather Underground anticipated a stronger cold front limiting highs to the mid-60s, but upper-air patterns and delayed boundary passage allowed midday warming to near climatological norms (April average ~77°F at KDAL). Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—or disputes over the exact resolving station's timestamped maximum, though NWS daily climate summaries typically solidify such observations within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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