Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm the daily high temperature reached 22°C on April 13, amid persistent overcast skies and light rain that sharply limited solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with hourly data showing peak midday readings before evening clouds and cooling to around 20°C, capping trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability for 22°C as sunset approaches with no model indication of clearing. Such cloudy conditions are common in Chengdu's spring climatology, where average April highs hover near 22°C; realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden break in cloud cover for rapid reradiation warming, but extended forecasts predict continued stability through resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 13?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$148,066 Vol.
$148,066 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$148,066 Vol.
$148,066 Vol.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport confirm the daily high temperature reached 22°C on April 13, amid persistent overcast skies and light rain that sharply limited solar insolation and convective heating. This aligns with hourly data showing peak midday readings before evening clouds and cooling to around 20°C, capping trader consensus at a near-certain 100% implied probability for 22°C as sunset approaches with no model indication of clearing. Such cloudy conditions are common in Chengdu's spring climatology, where average April highs hover near 22°C; realistic challenges would require an improbable sudden break in cloud cover for rapid reradiation warming, but extended forecasts predict continued stability through resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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