Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirming a daytime peak of 16°C at key stations like Gimhae amid an untimely spring cold snap. Morning lows dipped to 9.5°C with northerly winds and strong gusts ushering in a chilly air mass, suppressing highs well below April's typical 18°C average despite periods of clear skies allowing modest solar heating. Ensemble forecast models aligned early around 14–16°C, and real-time data solidified this as the day progressed. Realistic challenges are minimal—late-afternoon revisions from peripheral stations or measurement discrepancies—but KMA final daily reports, expected soon, are unlikely to exceed this threshold given cooling evening trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 7?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 7?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$81,337 Vol.
$81,337 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$81,337 Vol.
$81,337 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Busan's highest temperature on April 7, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations confirming a daytime peak of 16°C at key stations like Gimhae amid an untimely spring cold snap. Morning lows dipped to 9.5°C with northerly winds and strong gusts ushering in a chilly air mass, suppressing highs well below April's typical 18°C average despite periods of clear skies allowing modest solar heating. Ensemble forecast models aligned early around 14–16°C, and real-time data solidified this as the day progressed. Realistic challenges are minimal—late-afternoon revisions from peripheral stations or measurement discrepancies—but KMA final daily reports, expected soon, are unlikely to exceed this threshold given cooling evening trends.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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