Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 at 22°C, peaking around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, aligning observational data from morning hours showing temperatures climbing to 21°C. This consensus reflects stable upper-air patterns capping further warming amid a recent warm April spell, where regional highs have averaged 20-23°C against historical norms of 18°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability underscores skin-in-the-game alignment with these projections, though realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine eroding clouds to boost solar heating toward 23°C or thicker overcast dropping the peak below. Final official KMA station measurements will resolve the market by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,449 Vol.
$65,449 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$65,449 Vol.
$65,449 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast models project Busan's highest temperature on April 15 at 22°C, peaking around midday under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and low precipitation chances, aligning observational data from morning hours showing temperatures climbing to 21°C. This consensus reflects stable upper-air patterns capping further warming amid a recent warm April spell, where regional highs have averaged 20-23°C against historical norms of 18°C. Trader sentiment at 100% implied probability underscores skin-in-the-game alignment with these projections, though realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine eroding clouds to boost solar heating toward 23°C or thicker overcast dropping the peak below. Final official KMA station measurements will resolve the market by midnight.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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