Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project Busan's highest temperature on April 14 at 19°C, reflecting trader consensus with 100% implied probability, supported by current observations of midday readings around 15°C under persistent mostly cloudy skies and cool easterly winds limiting insolation. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where average highs hover near 18°C amid transitional spring patterns, and recent model runs from KMA show no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting solar heating or urban heat island effects at official stations, though low-level cloud persistence and weak pressure gradients make deviations above 20°C unlikely as the market nears resolution with evening data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on April 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 14?
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$98,058 Vol.
$98,058 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$98,058 Vol.
$98,058 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-term forecasts project Busan's highest temperature on April 14 at 19°C, reflecting trader consensus with 100% implied probability, supported by current observations of midday readings around 15°C under persistent mostly cloudy skies and cool easterly winds limiting insolation. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where average highs hover near 18°C amid transitional spring patterns, and recent model runs from KMA show no significant warm air advection. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting solar heating or urban heat island effects at official stations, though low-level cloud persistence and weak pressure gradients make deviations above 20°C unlikely as the market nears resolution with evening data releases.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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