Official measurements from China Meteorological Administration stations in Beijing, including the capital's primary observatory, confirm the highest temperature reached 22°C on April 17, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation earlier in the day—echoing yesterday's rainy conditions with highs only at 17°C—suppressed solar heating and aligned with forecast model consensus from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting mild midday peaks around 20-23°C. April climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 20°C amid variable spring weather patterns. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an overlooked higher reading from a peripheral station or measurement revision, both highly improbable given synchronized reports. Traders await any end-of-day CMA bulletin for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,153 Vol.
$137,153 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$137,153 Vol.
$137,153 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official measurements from China Meteorological Administration stations in Beijing, including the capital's primary observatory, confirm the highest temperature reached 22°C on April 17, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome as the day concludes. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation earlier in the day—echoing yesterday's rainy conditions with highs only at 17°C—suppressed solar heating and aligned with forecast model consensus from the World Meteorological Centre Beijing projecting mild midday peaks around 20-23°C. April climatology supports this, with historical daily highs averaging 20°C amid variable spring weather patterns. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require an overlooked higher reading from a peripheral station or measurement revision, both highly improbable given synchronized reports. Traders await any end-of-day CMA bulletin for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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